First Merchants Corporation (FRME) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
First Merchants Corporation
FRME (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 39.18 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 52.74 USD
Book value of equity invested 40.23 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 2.31 USD
Terminal stage EPS 5.3 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 51.57 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 4.6 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 10.2 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 15.63 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 8.92%
Terminal year's excess return 0.695 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 10.27%
Average historical Payout Ratio 32.41%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 56.38%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 37.9 39.53 39.53 42.08 44.58 47.02 49.36
Ending Book Value 39.53 40.23 42.08 44.58 47.02 49.36 51.57
EPS 3.42 3.57 4.06 4.32 4.58 4.83 5.07
Return on Equity 8.96% 9.06% 10.27% 10.27% 10.27% 10.27% 10.27%
Dividend per Share 1.39 1.41 1.51 1.81 2.14 2.49 2.86
Payout Ratio 40.64% 39.5% 37.2% 42% 46.79% 51.58% 56.38%
Retained Earnings 2.03 2.16 2.55 2.51 2.44 2.34 2.21
Equity Cost 3.38 3.53 3.53 3.75 3.98 4.2 4.4
Cost of Equity 8.92% 8.92% 8.92% 8.92% 8.92% 8.92% 8.92%
Excess Return 0.038 0.043 0.532 0.567 0.601 0.633 0.665
Discounted Excess Return
0.489 0.478 0.465 0.45 0.434

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 161.5 208.8 201.4 223.8 222.1 205.5 148.6 164.5 159.1 96.07 81.05 65.38
Total Stockholders Equity 1,723 2,332 2,305 2,248 2,035 1,913 1,876 1,786 1,408 1,303 901.7 850.5
Return on Equity 10.27% 9.06% 8.96% 11% 11.61% 10.96% 8.32% 11.68% 12.21% 10.65% 9.53% 9%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 53.89 81.74 81.05 79.47 72.12 60.78 56.22 51.41 41.39 31.12 21.99 15.5
Payout Ratio 32.41% 39.5% 40.64% 35.83% 32.64% 29.58% 37.82% 31.25% 26.01% 32.39% 27.14% 23.7%
Shares Outstanding 51.4 57.97 58.31 59.3 57.69 53.78 54.06 51.41 49.27 45.1 40.73 37.79
Earnings per Share 3.04 3.57 3.42 3.74 3.83 3.82 2.75 3.2 3.23 2.13 1.99 1.73
Dividend per Share 1.0 1.41 1.39 1.34 1.25 1.13 1.04 1.0 0.84 0.69 0.54 0.41
Dividend Growth Rate 16.12% 1.44% 3.73% 7.2% 10.62% 8.65% 4% 19.05% 21.74% 27.78% 31.71% 41.38%
Book Value 32.73 40.23 39.53 37.9 35.27 35.56 34.7 34.75 28.58 28.9 22.14 22.5
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us