Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
AMAT (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

Return On Equity

Return on Equity

Return On Equity (ROE) is used to estimate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) expressed as a percentage of Book Value.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow in perpetuity. By default, this is equal to the yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Results

Estimated Value 110 USD
Book value of equity invested 25.71 USD
Next year's estimated book value 26.03 USD
Present value of future excess returns 84.32 USD
Excess Return per share 7.81 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 11.76%
Average historical Return on Equity 42.51%
Average historical Payout Ratio 19.49%
Payout Ratio used 94.12%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.28%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Oct 26
LTM
Feb 04
2026
Oct 26
2027
Oct 26
2028
Oct 26
2029
Oct 26
2030
Oct 26
Beginning Book Value 22.98 25.39 25.39 26.03 26.68 27.34 28.03
Ending Book Value 25.39 25.71 26.03 26.68 27.34 28.03 28.73
EPS 8.71 8.71 10.79 11.06 11.34 11.62 11.91
Return on Equity 36.83% 34.28% 42.51% 42.51% 42.51% 42.51% 42.51%
Dividend per Share 1.78 1.84 10.16 10.41 10.67 10.94 11.21
Retained Earnings 6.93 6.87 0.635 0.651 0.667 0.684 0.701
Equity Cost per Share 2.7 2.99 2.99 3.06 3.14 3.22 3.3
Cost of Equity 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76%
Excess Return 6.01 5.72 7.81 8.0 8.2 8.41 8.62

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 04
2025
Oct 26
2024
Oct 27
2023
Oct 29
2022
Oct 30
2021
Oct 31
2020
Oct 25
2019
Oct 27
2018
Oct 28
2017
Oct 29
2016
Oct 30
Net Income 5,004 6,998 6,998 7,177 6,856 6,525 5,888 3,619 2,706 3,038 3,519 1,721
Total Equity 12,984 20,415 20,415 19,001 16,349 12,194 12,247 10,578 8,214 6,845 9,349 7,217
Return on Equity 42.51% 34.28% 36.83% 43.9% 56.22% 53.28% 55.66% 44.06% 39.53% 32.5% 48.76% 22.61%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 915.8 1,461 1,431 1,257 1,025 888.4 855.4 796.9 777.7 709.1 429.2 442.8
Payout Ratio 19.49% 21.13% 20.44% 17.51% 14.95% 13.62% 14.53% 22.03% 28.72% 23.33% 12.5% 25.64%
Shares Outstanding 917.5 794 804 827 840 871 910 916 937 1,013 1,073 1,107
EPS 5.71 8.71 8.71 8.68 8.16 7.49 6.47 3.95 2.89 3 3.2 1.56
Dividend per Share 1.05 1.84 1.78 1.52 1.22 1.02 0.94 0.87 0.83 0.7 0.4 0.4
Book Value 14.85 25.71 25.39 22.98 19.46 14.0 13.46 11.55 8.77 6.76 8.71 6.52
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