Apple Inc. (AAPL) Discounted Cash Flow to Firm - Exit Multiple - Discounting Cash Flows
AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL (NASDAQ)

Fair Value per Share

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Cash Flow to Firm (Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple)

This model estimates the fair value of a share by discounting projected Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF), also known as Unlevered Free Cash Flow.

The Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple is applied to the company’s projected EBITDA in the final forecast year to estimate the terminal Enterprise Value (EV):

Terminal Enterprise Value = Exit EBITDA × Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple

The terminal value and projected FCFF are discounted to present value using WACC. Equity value is obtained by adjusting enterprise value for net debt:

Equity Value = Cumulative Present Value of FCFF + Present Value of Terminal EV + Cash and Short Term InvestmentsTotal Debt

Fair Value per Share = Equity Value ÷ Shares Outstanding

This model was inspired by Prof. Aswath Damodaran’s spreadsheet ⬇️fcff2st.xls

Learn more: Prof. Aswath Damodaran’s Guide to Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

Discount Rate (WACC)

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Equity Risk Premium

Equity Risk Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Historical Years

Historical Years

Number of trailing fiscal years used to compute historical averages/trends that feed the model’s default forecast assumptions (e.g., margins and growth).

WACC Calculation

Beta 1.12
* Equity Risk Premium 4.46%
+ Risk Free Rate 4.15%
= Cost of Equity 9.13%
* Equity Weight 97.66%
+ Cost of Debt 0%
* Debt Weight 2.34%
* (1 - Tax Rate) 83.44%
= WACC (Discount Rate) 8.91%

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Mar 07
2025
Sep 27
2024
Sep 28
2023
Sep 30
Revenue 406,524 435,617 416,161 391,035 383,285
Revenue Growth Rate 2.58% 4.67% 6.43% 2.02% -2.8%
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) 127,909 141,070 133,050 123,216 114,301
EBIT Margin 31.42% 32.38% 31.97% 31.51% 29.82%
Income Tax Expense 22,645 23,370 20,719 29,749 16,741
Income Tax Rate 17.74% 16.56% 15.61% 24.09% 14.72%
Depreciation and Amortization (D&A) 11,624 11,832 11,698 11,445 11,519
D&A Margin 2.86% 2.72% 2.81% 2.93% 3%
Capital Expenditure (CapEx) -11,317 -12,148 -12,715 -9,447 -10,959
CapEx Margin -2.78% -2.79% -3.06% -2.42% -2.86%
Change in Working Capital -9,156 -8,700 -25,000 3,651 -6,577
Change in WC Margin -2.2% -2% -6.01% 0.934% -1.72%
Free Cashflow to Firm (FCFF) 96,400 108,697 86,264 99,181 91,460
FCFF Margin 23.72% 24.95% 20.73% 25.36% 23.86%

Forecast Assumptions

High Growth Years

High Growth Years

Number of years with explicit projections before the model shifts to the terminal period.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

Annual % increase in revenue during the forecast period.

EBIT Margin

EBIT Margin

EBIT as a % of revenue; reflects operating profitability and business mix.

Change in Working Capital Margin

Change in Working Capital Margin

Annual change in net working capital as a % of revenue; captures cash tied up (or released) in receivables, inventory, and payables.

  • A negative value represents cash tied up in operations (reduces FCFF).
  • A positive value represents a release of working capital (increases FCFF).
Depreciation and Amortization Margin

Depreciation and Amortization Margin

D&A as a % of revenue; a non-cash expense added back in cash flow, often linked to the asset base.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

CapEx as a % of revenue; cash reinvestment required to maintain and grow operations.

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-09-27 2027-09-27 2028-09-27 2029-09-27 2030-09-27

EV/EBITDA Calculation

Market Capitalization 3,784 Bil. USD
+ Total Debt 90.51 Bil. USD
- Cash and Short Term Investments 66.91 Bil. USD
= Current Enterprise Value (EV) 3,808 Bil. USD
/ EBITDA 152.9 Bil. USD
= EV/EBITDA Multiple 24.9

Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple

Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple

Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple

The Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple is the valuation ratio applied to the company's projected EBITDA at the end of the forecast to estimate its terminal value, reflecting expected market conditions.

Fair Value Calculation

Exit EBIT (used to derive EBITDA) 148.5 Bil. USD
+ Exit D&A 13.54 Bil. USD
= Exit EBITDA 162.1 Bil. USD
* Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple 24.9
= Terminal Enterprise Value (EV) 4,036 Bil. USD
Terminal Value Discount Factor 53.26%
Present Value of Terminal EV 2,634 Bil. USD
+ Cumulative Present Value of FCFF 420.6 Bil. USD
+ Cash and Short Term Investments 66.91 Bil. USD
- Total Debt 90.51 Bil. USD
= Equity Value 3,031 Bil. USD
/ Shares Outstanding 14.75 Bil.
= Fair Value per Share 205.5 USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Sep 27
2027
Sep 27
2028
Sep 27
2029
Sep 27
2030
Sep 27
Revenue 426,900 437,917 449,217 460,809 472,701
Revenue Growth Rate 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58%
Free Cashflow to Firm (FCFF) 102,915 105,570 108,295 111,089 113,956
FCFF Margin 24.11% 24.11% 24.11% 24.11% 24.11%
Present Value of FCFF 94,491 88,997 83,821 78,947 74,356
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Discounting Cash Flows

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