The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
The Walt Disney Company
DIS (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 65.92 USD
Book value of equity invested 57.71 USD
Next year's estimated book value 57.52 USD
Present value of future excess returns 8.21 USD
Excess Return per share 0.552 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.96%
Average historical Return on Equity 11.96%
Average historical Payout Ratio 18.08%
Payout Ratio used 64.55%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 54.31 55.18 55.18 57.52 59.95 62.5 65.15
Ending Book Value 55.18 57.71 57.52 59.95 62.5 65.15 67.91
EPS 2.72 4.91 6.6 6.88 7.17 7.47 7.79
Return on Equity 5.01% 8.85% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96%
Dividend per Share 0.95 1.0 4.26 4.44 4.63 4.82 5.03
Retained Earnings 1.77 3.91 2.34 2.44 2.54 2.65 2.76
Equity Cost per Share 5.95 6.05 6.05 6.3 6.57 6.85 7.14
Cost of Equity 10.96% 10.96% 10.96% 10.96% 10.96% 10.96% 10.96%
Excess Return -3.23 -1.14 0.552 0.575 0.6 0.625 0.651

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 6,218 8,910 4,972 2,354 3,193 2,024 -2,832 10,425 12,598 8,980 9,391 8,382
Total Equity 76,201 104,339 100,696 99,277 95,008 88,553 83,583 88,877 48,773 41,315 43,265 44,525
Return on Equity 11.96% 8.85% 5.01% 2.48% 3.61% 2.42% -3.19% 21.37% 30.49% 20.76% 21.09% 18.64%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 1,994 1,808 1,734 548.4 0 0 0
2,578 2,540 2,427 2,321
Payout Ratio 25.84% 20.37% 34.93% 23.26% 0% 0% 0%
20.48% 28.27% 25.87% 27.68%
Shares Outstanding 1,723 1,808 1,825 1,828 1,822 1,816 1,808 1,656 1,499 1,568 1,629 1,694
EPS 3.76 4.91 2.72 1.29 1.75 1.11 -1.57 6.3 8.4 5.73 5.76 4.95
Dividend per Share 1.21 1.0 0.95 0.3 0 0 0
1.72 1.62 1.49 1.37
Book Value 43.61 57.71 55.18 54.31 52.14 48.76 46.23 53.67 32.54 26.35 26.56 26.28
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Discounting Cash Flows

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