The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value -381.1 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value -170.9 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow -73.34 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value -244.2 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 167.4 Bil. USD
Total Debt 609.7 Bil. USD
Equity Value 70.9 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 320.8 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 221 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.35%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 2.09%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -7.32%

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

amounts of USD except for #

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Revenue 142,240 158,264 174,726 191,389 207,986 224,225 239,794 254,371 267,635 279,277
Revenue Growth Rate 12.13% 11.27% 10.4% 9.54% 8.67% 7.81% 6.94% 6.08% 5.21% 4.35%
Operating Cash Flow 2,967 3,301 3,645 3,992 4,339 4,677 5,002 5,306 5,583 5,826
Operating Cash Flow Margin 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09% 2.09%
Capital Expenditure -10,408 -11,580 -12,785 -14,004 -15,218 -16,407 -17,546 -18,612 -19,583 -20,435
Capital Expenditure Margin -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32% -7.32%
Free Cash Flow -7,441 -8,279 -9,140 -10,012 -10,880 -11,729 -12,544 -13,306 -14,000 -14,609
Free Cash Flow Margin -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23% -5.23%
Compounded Discount Rate 4.01% 12.7% 22.11% 32.33% 43.38% 55.35% 68.33% 82.42% 97.65% 114.2%
Discounted Free Cash Flow -7,154 -7,346 -7,485 -7,566 -7,588 -7,550 -7,452 -7,294 -7,083 -6,822

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Revenue 70,441 126,243 126,853 108,418 68,711 64,989 53,497 53,902 52,368 42,797 37,894 39,174
Revenue Growth Rate 12.13% -0.481% 17% 57.79% 5.73% 21.48% -0.751% 2.93% 22.36% 12.94% -3.27% -2.27%
Cost of Revenue 28,338 73,199 74,689 63,192 24,061 6,007 12,036 18,441 16,586 10,838 7,286 5,388
Gross Profit 42,102 53,044 52,164 45,226 44,650 58,982 41,461 35,461 35,782 31,959 30,608 33,786
Gross Margin 66.72% 42.02% 41.12% 41.71% 64.98% 90.76% 77.5% 65.79% 68.33% 74.68% 80.77% 86.25%
Operating Income 14,021 18,807 18,397 10,739 13,486 27,044 12,479 10,583 12,481 11,132 10,304 8,778
Operating Margin 22.09% 14.9% 14.5% 9.9% 19.63% 41.61% 23.33% 19.63% 23.83% 26.01% 27.19% 22.41%
Net Income 10,611 14,882 14,276 8,516 11,261 21,635 9,459 8,466 10,459 4,286 7,398 6,083
Net Margin 16.27% 11.79% 11.25% 7.85% 16.39% 33.29% 17.68% 15.71% 19.97% 10.01% 19.52% 15.53%
Cash from Operating Activities -1,202 -22,404 -13,212 -12,587 8,708 921 -13,728 23,868 20,421 -17,742 5,570 6,961
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 2.08% -17.75% -10.42% -11.61% 12.67% 1.42% -25.66% 44.28% 39% -41.46% 14.7% 17.77%
Capital Expenditure -4,140 -2,093 -2,091 -2,316 -3,748 -4,667 -6,309 -8,443 -7,982 -3,185 -2,876 -1,833
Free Cash Flow -5,342 -24,497 -15,303 -14,903 4,960 -3,746 -20,037 15,425 12,439 -20,927 2,694 5,128
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Discounting Cash Flows

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