Apple Inc. (AAPL) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple - Discounting Cash Flows
AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit EBITDA Multiple

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Exit Ebitda Multiple

Exit EBITDA Multiple

The exit EV/EBITDA multiple used to calculate the terminal value.

Ebitda Margin

EBITDA Margin

EBITDA expressed as a percentage of Revenue.

Capital Expenditure To Ebitda

Capital Expenditure to EBITDA

Capital expenditure expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.

Operating Cash Flow To Ebitda

Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA

Operating cash flow expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Results

Exit EBITDA Multiple (EV/EBITDA) 28.45
Terminal EBITDA 178.7 Bil. USD
Terminal Enterprise Value 5,084 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Enterprise Value 3,351 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 488.4 Bil. USD
Present Enterprise Value 3,839 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 54.7 Bil. USD
Total Debt 112.4 Bil. USD
Present Equity Value 3,782 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 14.95 Bil.
Estimated Value per Share 253 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.13%
Cost of Equity 8.93%
Equity Weight 97.34%
Cost of Debt
Debt Weight 2.66%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 5.87%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR 7.08%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-09-27 2027-09-27 2028-09-27 2029-09-27 2030-09-27

amounts of USD except for #

2025 LTM 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue 416,161 416,161 440,602 466,479 493,875 522,880 553,589
Revenue Growth Rate 6.43% 0% 5.87% 5.87% 5.87% 5.87% 5.87%
EBITDA 144,748 144,748 142,226 150,579 159,423 168,786 178,699
EBITDA Margin 34.78% 34.78% 32.28% 32.28% 32.28% 32.28% 32.28%
Operating Cash Flow 111,482 111,482 127,136 134,603 142,508 150,878 159,739
Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA 77.02% 77.02% 89.39% 89.39% 89.39% 89.39% 89.39%
Capital Expenditure 12,715 12,715 16,456 17,422 18,445 19,529 20,675
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA 8.78% 8.78% 11.57% 11.57% 11.57% 11.57% 11.57%
Free Cash Flow 98,767 98,767 110,681 117,181 124,063 131,349 139,063
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA 68.23% 68.23% 77.82% 77.82% 77.82% 77.82% 77.82%
Compounded Discount Rate
7.56% 16.91% 27.1% 38.15% 50.16%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 98,767 98,767 102,903 100,232 97,609 95,075 92,608

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Revenue 328,359 416,161 416,161 391,035 383,285 394,328 365,817 274,515 260,174 265,595 229,234 215,639
Revenue Growth Rate 6.46% 0% 6.43% 2.02% -2.8% 7.79% 33.26% 5.51% -2.04% 15.86% 6.3% -7.73%
Cost of Revenue 188,223 220,960 220,960 210,352 214,137 223,546 212,981 169,559 161,782 163,756 141,048 131,376
Gross Profit 140,135 195,201 195,201 180,683 169,148 170,782 152,836 104,956 98,392 101,839 88,186 84,263
Gross Margin 41.93% 46.91% 46.91% 46.21% 44.13% 43.31% 41.78% 38.23% 37.82% 38.34% 38.47% 39.08%
EBITDA 107,128 144,748 144,748 134,661 125,820 130,541 120,233 77,344 76,477 81,801 71,501 70,529
EBITDA Margin 32.28% 34.78% 34.78% 34.44% 32.83% 33.1% 32.87% 28.17% 29.39% 30.8% 31.19% 32.71%
Net Income 79,588 112,010 112,010 93,736 96,995 99,803 94,680 57,411 55,256 59,531 48,351 45,687
Net Income to EBITDA 73.48% 77.38% 77.38% 69.61% 77.09% 76.45% 78.75% 74.23% 72.25% 72.78% 67.62% 64.78%
Cash from Operating Activities 94,173 111,482 111,482 118,254 110,543 122,151 104,038 80,674 69,391 77,434 64,225 66,231
Cash from Operating Activities to EBITDA 89.39% 77.02% 77.02% 87.82% 87.86% 93.57% 86.53% 104.3% 90.73% 94.66% 89.82% 93.91%
Capital Expenditure 11,372 12,715 12,715 9,447 10,959 10,708 11,085 7,309 10,495 13,313 12,795 13,548
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA 11.57% 8.78% 8.78% 7.02% 8.71% 8.2% 9.22% 9.45% 13.72% 16.27% 17.89% 19.21%
Free Cash Flow 82,801 98,767 98,767 108,807 99,584 111,443 92,953 73,365 58,896 64,121 51,430 52,683
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA 77.82% 68.23% 68.23% 80.8% 79.15% 85.37% 77.31% 94.86% 77.01% 78.39% 71.93% 74.7%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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