Apple Inc. (AAPL) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple - Discounting Cash Flows
AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit EBITDA Multiple

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Exit Ebitda Multiple

Exit EBITDA Multiple

The exit EV/EBITDA multiple used to calculate the terminal value.

Ebitda Margin

EBITDA Margin

EBITDA expressed as a percentage of Revenue.

Capital Expenditure To Ebitda

Capital Expenditure to EBITDA

Capital expenditure expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.

Operating Cash Flow To Ebitda

Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA

Operating cash flow expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Results

Exit EBITDA Multiple (EV/EBITDA) 22.95
Terminal EBITDA 187.1 Bil. USD
Terminal Enterprise Value 4,294 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Enterprise Value 2,744 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 523.5 Bil. USD
Present Enterprise Value 3,267 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 48.5 Bil. USD
Total Debt 98.19 Bil. USD
Present Equity Value 3,217 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 14.99 Bil.
Estimated Value per Share 214.6 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.42%
Cost of Equity 9.66%
Equity Weight 96.98%
Cost of Debt
Debt Weight 3.02%
EBIT Tax Rate 23.39%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue 391,035 400,366 425,663 459,878 496,843 536,779 579,925
Revenue Growth Rate 2.02% 2.39% 8.86% 8.04% 8.04% 8.04% 8.04%
EBITDA 134,661 138,866 137,319 148,357 160,281 173,165 187,084
EBITDA Margin 34.44% 34.68% 32.26% 32.26% 32.26% 32.26% 32.26%
Operating Cash Flow 118,254 109,556 125,894 136,013 146,946 158,758 171,519
Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA 87.82% 78.89% 91.68% 91.68% 91.68% 91.68% 91.68%
Capital Expenditure -9,447 -11,070 -16,478 -17,803 -19,234 -20,780 -22,450
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA -7.02% -7.97% -12% -12% -12% -12% -12%
Free Cash Flow 108,807 98,486 109,416 118,211 127,712 137,978 149,068
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA 80.8% 70.92% 79.68% 79.68% 79.68% 79.68% 79.68%
Compounded Discount Rate
1.98% 11.54% 21.99% 33.46% 45.96%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 108,807 98,486 107,288 105,981 104,689 103,388 102,128

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Revenue 310,337 400,366 391,035 383,285 394,328 365,817 274,515 260,174 265,595 229,234 215,639 233,715
Revenue Growth Rate 8.04% 2.39% 2.02% -2.8% 7.79% 33.26% 5.51% -2.04% 15.86% 6.3% -7.73% 27.86%
Cost of Revenue 180,208 213,667 210,352 214,137 223,546 212,981 169,559 161,782 163,756 141,048 131,376 140,089
Gross Profit 130,128 186,699 180,683 169,148 170,782 152,836 104,956 98,392 101,839 88,186 84,263 93,626
Gross Margin 41.28% 46.63% 46.21% 44.13% 43.31% 41.78% 38.23% 37.82% 38.34% 38.47% 39.08% 40.06%
EBITDA 100,800 138,866 134,661 125,820 130,541 120,233 77,344 76,477 81,801 70,744 69,824 82,487
EBITDA Margin 32.26% 34.68% 34.44% 32.83% 33.1% 32.87% 28.17% 29.39% 30.8% 30.86% 32.38% 35.29%
Net Income 72,922 97,294 93,736 96,995 99,803 94,680 57,411 55,256 59,531 48,351 45,687 53,394
Net Income to EBITDA 71.79% 70.06% 69.61% 77.09% 76.45% 78.75% 74.23% 72.25% 72.78% 68.35% 65.43% 64.73%
Cash from Operating Activities 91,251 109,556 118,254 110,543 122,151 104,038 80,674 69,391 77,434 64,225 66,231 81,266
Cash from Operating Activities to EBITDA 91.68% 78.89% 87.82% 87.86% 93.57% 86.53% 104.3% 90.73% 94.66% 90.79% 94.85% 98.52%
Capital Expenditure -11,111 -11,070 -9,447 -10,959 -10,708 -11,085 -7,309 -10,495 -13,313 -12,795 -13,548 -11,488
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA -12% -7.97% -7.02% -8.71% -8.2% -9.22% -9.45% -13.72% -16.27% -18.09% -19.4% -13.93%
Free Cash Flow 80,141 98,486 108,807 99,584 111,443 92,953 73,365 58,896 64,121 51,430 52,683 69,778
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA 79.69% 70.92% 80.8% 79.15% 85.37% 77.31% 94.86% 77.01% 78.39% 72.7% 75.45% 84.59%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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