Apple Inc. (AAPL) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
Apple Inc.
AAPL (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Results

Terminal Value 4,743 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 2,149 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 990 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 3,139 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 28.16 Bil. USD
Total Debt 98.19 Bil. USD
Equity Value 3,089 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 14.99 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 206 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 29.51%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.84%

Historical Values

In Millions of USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

amounts of USD except for #

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Revenue 422,466 454,641 487,348 520,352 553,394 586,199 618,475 649,918 680,218 709,059
Revenue Growth Rate 8.04% 7.62% 7.19% 6.77% 6.35% 5.93% 5.51% 5.08% 4.66% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 124,670 134,165 143,816 153,556 163,307 172,987 182,512 191,791 200,732 209,243
Operating Cash Flow Margin 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51% 29.51%
Capital Expenditure -16,235 -17,472 -18,729 -19,997 -21,267 -22,528 -23,768 -24,976 -26,141 -27,249
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84% -3.84%
Free Cash Flow 108,434 116,693 125,088 133,559 142,040 150,460 158,744 166,815 174,591 181,994
Free Cash Flow Margin 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67% 25.67%
Compounded Discount Rate 1.95% 10.35% 19.44% 29.31% 39.97% 51.5% 63.99% 77.54% 92.17% 108%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 106,361 105,748 104,726 103,283 101,480 99,312 96,804 93,961 90,855 87,497

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Revenue 310,337 400,366 391,035 383,285 394,328 365,817 274,515 260,174 265,595 229,234 215,639 233,715
Revenue Growth Rate 8.04% 2.39% 2.02% -2.8% 7.79% 33.26% 5.51% -2.04% 15.86% 6.3% -7.73% 27.86%
Cost of Revenue 180,208 213,667 210,352 214,137 223,546 212,981 169,559 161,782 163,756 141,048 131,376 140,089
Gross Profit 130,128 186,699 180,683 169,148 170,782 152,836 104,956 98,392 101,839 88,186 84,263 93,626
Gross Margin 41.28% 46.63% 46.21% 44.13% 43.31% 41.78% 38.23% 37.82% 38.34% 38.47% 39.08% 40.06%
Operating Income 89,726 127,364 123,216 114,301 119,437 108,949 66,288 63,930 70,898 61,344 60,024 71,230
Operating Margin 28.52% 31.81% 31.51% 29.82% 30.29% 29.78% 24.15% 24.57% 26.69% 26.76% 27.84% 30.48%
Net Income 72,922 97,294 93,736 96,995 99,803 94,680 57,411 55,256 59,531 48,351 45,687 53,394
Net Margin 23.13% 24.3% 23.97% 25.31% 25.31% 25.88% 20.91% 21.24% 22.41% 21.09% 21.19% 22.85%
Cash from Operating Activities 91,251 109,556 118,254 110,543 122,151 104,038 80,674 69,391 77,434 64,225 66,231 81,266
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 29.51% 27.36% 30.24% 28.84% 30.98% 28.44% 29.39% 26.67% 29.15% 28.02% 30.71% 34.77%
Capital Expenditure -11,111 -11,070 -9,447 -10,959 -10,708 -11,085 -7,309 -10,495 -13,313 -12,795 -13,548 -11,488
Free Cash Flow 80,141 98,486 108,807 99,584 111,443 92,953 73,365 58,896 64,121 51,430 52,683 69,778
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Discounting Cash Flows

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